1. More Online Video Watching - Less Driving
Broadband is mainstream. Today I personally don't know anyone sitting on dial-up anymore. My son will have a hard time believing that daddy used to sit on a 28.8kbs modem when he was young.
Video presentations are going to become much more common in the real estate industry during the next two years.
High-end productions like listing presentations made by companies like Inman stories are probably going to be reserved for upscale listings for now.
With the explosion of YouTube and easy to use sites like One True Media home owners and agents can make their own home grown presentations fairly easily. In the future agents will show up to shoot video in addition to digital pictures.
And "home made" productions can be even more credible and successful in terms of selling than a high end production one.
2. "Press 1 to buy, 2 to sell, 3 to get a mortgage and 0 to speak to an operator"
The use of call centers / contact management centers in the real estate world is increasing.
Good or bad? It's all in the execution.
If you can get a knowledgeable person on the phone right away at 10 PM on a Thu night while you browsed a house it's a good thing right?
But if you get put on hold for 15 min and get to an underpaid, tired customer service rep who is reading a script to you it's quite annoying.
With the real estate industry going online, call centers with rapid response and extended hours are part of the future.
3. You will find more salaried agents to help you than today
Commissioned real estate agents want the deal to happen. Sooner rather than later.
When you buy or sell they get paid.
Most agents are hard-working and very ethical. But with a system where it's in the agents financial interest to make the client close as quickly as possible you could encounter someone not so ethical if you are unlucky.
Salaried agents are part of the future. And companies that adapt that model have a distinct and clear reason why clients should trust them with their business.
4. Your transaction costs will be lower and more transparent
Yes, all those articles you read in the newspaper about discount brokerages and increased competition are true. The long-term trend is clear.
Transaction costs will go down when clients are doing more browsing and the agent does less driving. Consumers (and regulators) will become more educated and request better disclosures.
If the government required full disclosure of commissions in the title industry, consumers would not have to pay 80-90% of their title policy premium in commissions. And there is no good reason why anyone should pay more than $2,500 in commissions to a lender or mortgage broker.
Paying a percentage of the sales price to a real estate agent is a flawed model for sure, though I don't see that going away anytime soon.
5. You will probably live in a megapolitan area
In a very interesting article last year Business 2.0 reported that the biggest wave of development since World War II will turn America's major metro areas into giant megapolitans in the next 25 years.
What does this mean? Large cities will grow together and go from being metropolitan to megapolitan. In Arizona, Phoenix and Tucson will be united. Portland and Seattle are predicted to merge in 2030. Hope you like strip malls and chain restaurants, because there are going to be more of them for sure.